Clueless? ShatterDonegal Fianna Fáil Deputy Charlie McConalogue has accused the Minister for Justice Alan Shatter of refusing to acknowledge the serious and escalating burglary problem in Donegal and of dismissing the fears of local homeowners. Deputy McConalogue said the Minister’s comments on the Shaun Doherty Show today exposed his total lack of understanding of the specific policing challenges facing Donegal and the border region.“Alan Shatter clearly has no clue what is actually happening in Donegal,” said Deputy McConalogue. “For the Minister for Justice to describe recent attacks here as ‘unfortunate’ shows how out of touch he has become in a very short period of time. He compounded this by attempting to dismiss the genuine fears of Donegal residents who are feeling increasingly vulnerable in their homes at this time.“How can the Minister downplay this terrible spate of aggravated burglaries, when every single day we hear stories about criminals targeting yet another vulnerable Donegal homeowner?“The Minister’s answer is not to address the problem, but to completely dismiss it and press ahead with plans to shut down 5 more Donegal garda stations within the next two weeks and force cuts to garda numbers.“Before he completely dismantles our local garda resources, Minister Shatter would be well-served by leaving Dublin for a day and coming up to Donegal to hear for himself the very real anxiety among homeowners here and the impact on our communities of removing the local garda station. “I am urging the Minister to take a step back from his assault on our local garda resources and meet me to discuss this extremely worrying local crime wave. The Minister has so far refused to acknowledge the specific policing challenges facing Donegal and the border region. It is time for him to stop dismissing these very real problems and start addressing them before more people are hurt.”Earlier the Minister told the media in Dublin that Donegal “wasn’t a special case” when it come to rural crime and insisted Gardai are targeting the criminals.He said almost 2,000 criminals were charged in the 26 Counties last year with burglary offences. DONEGAL CRIMEWAVE: ‘ALAN SHATTER HASN’T GOT A CLUE’ BLASTS TD was last modified: January 17th, 2013 by BrendaShare this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window) Tags:DONEGAL CRIMEWAVE: ‘ALAN SHATTER HASN’T GOT A CLUE’ BLAST TD
OTTAWA – Members of Parliament will be burning the midnight oil next month as the Trudeau government rushes to pass a sheaf of bills before the summer break.Government House leader Bardish Chagger served notice Thursday of a motion to extend daily sitting hours for the House of Commons until midnight, starting the week of May 29, when Parliament resumes after a one-week break, and continuing until June 23.The move comes amid criticism that, as of Thursday, the Liberals have passed only 19 government bills since taking power in November 2015 — a skimpy legislative record compared to the 42 bills passed into law during the first 19 months of Stephen Harper’s majority Conservative regime.Of the 53 bills Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals have introduced, 15 of them have languished for months — up to a year or more in a couple of cases — without proceeding beyond the formality of first reading.That includes a vaunted bill to repeal controversial provisions of the Conservatives’ Fair Elections Act and another bill to end the discriminatory impact of the Criminal Code on same-sex sexual activity, both of which were introduced six months ago but have gone nowhere since.Liberals blame the glacial pace on a number of factors, including procedural machinations employed by the Conservatives to thwart the government’s legislative agenda and a more independent, activist Senate that has amended five bills and returned them to the Commons for reconsideration.By Liberal calculations, procedural tricks have eaten up 36 hours of precious Commons sitting time since January, which amounts to a full week out of the 11 weeks the chamber has sat so far this year.Most of the current week has been lost to reconsideration of Senate-amended bills.But Conservatives and New Democrats say the government has only itself to blame, having poisoned relations in the Commons by proposing in March to unilaterally change the way the House and its committees operate, without consensus among opposition parties.Combined with Trudeau’s “non-answers” in question period and what the Opposition sees as his lack of respect for Parliament, “all of that together creates a toxic atmosphere,” Conservative House leader Candice Bergen said in an interview.“It’s very typical of the Liberals to blame others for their problems instead of taking responsibility,” she added.NDP House leader Murray Rankin agreed that the Liberals “just haven’t figured out how to work with opposition parties.”“They’ve poisoned the well with this procedural so-called discussion paper a while back . . . Now when it comes to bringing in legislation, there’s not a lot of goodwill left. That’s the problem.”As for the Senate, Rankin noted that Trudeau was the one who reformed the appointment process to encourage a more independent upper house.“It’s not our fault the Senate is giving them heartburn.”For her part, Chagger said she has no problem with the Senate doing its job to provide sober second thought to government legislation and recommending improvements.“To me, it’s really quality (of legislation) over quantity,” she said in an interview.That said, the government is now determined to increase the quantity. And that will mean invoking time allocation a lot more often to limit debate and speed the passage of bills.By Liberal calculations, the government has so far used time allocation just 14 times on nine bills (sometimes more than once on the same bill, at different stages in the legislative process) as it nears the mid-point of its mandate. By contrast, the Harper government used time allocation 91 times on 56 bills during its last four years in office.Until now, Chagger said the Liberals have been willing to allot more time for “meaningful” debate, accepting that it would slow down the legislative agenda. But those days are over now that the other parties have refused to even consider proposals to find a better balance between the opposition’s need to hold the government to account and the government’s need to deliver on its agenda.Chagger’s discussion paper triggered an opposition filibuster for several weeks. But Liberals note that even after she agreed to drop the most contentious proposals, the Conservatives have continued to employ procedural tricks to block government business.Until recently, Peter Harder, the government’s representative in the Senate, said similar tactics were used by Conservative senators to hold up some legislation for months.“I think there are times when you see some co-ordination between the two chambers,” he said.However, Harder said that seems to have changed over the last couple of weeks, with the Senate finally making “significant progress” in passing legislation.
* Partial season.Estimates are based on Tom Tango’s WARcel projection method and use the median recovery periods for Tommy John surgery patients who were hitters (11 months) and pitchers (15 months).Sources: Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs, Jon Roegele, TangoTiger.com 2018RecoveringRecoveringRecovering 20191.5*0.4*1.1 SeasonJuly 20182018-19 OFFSEASONDOESN’T HAVE SURGERY 20184.108.40.206 2018Recovering0.70.7 SeasonJuly 20182018-19 OFFSEASONDOESN’T HAVE SURGERY July 20182018-19 OFFSEASONDOESN’T HAVE SURGERY Returning to the Los Angeles Angels’ lineup following a monthlong injury layoff, Shohei Ohtani finally reminded everyone last Sunday night why he ranks among baseball’s most electrifying players. Pinch-hitting against the crosstown rival Dodgers in the seventh inning, Ohtani blasted a 2-2 fastball from JT Chargois 443 feet to center field, giving the Angels what eventually proved to be a decisive lead in the game. 20220.127.116.11 Total WARSurgery in … Batting WARSurgery in … 2019RecoveringRecovering2.0 Pitching WARSurgery in … What should Ohtani and the Angels do?Shohei Ohtani’s expected wins above replacement by when or if he has Tommy John surgery, based on median recovery periods for pitchers and hitters 3-year total18.104.22.168 Ohtani’s ability to crush those towering homers while also slinging nasty splitters is what makes him unprecedented in the modern game. At the time of the arm injury that shut him down in early June, he ranked among the American League’s best dozen or so hitters and pitchers on the season. However, that injury — a ligament strain to Ohtani’s pitching elbow — has limited him to “just” hitting for the foreseeable future. Since Ohtani throws right-handed but hits lefty, he can swing the bat without putting much strain on his damaged elbow.Ohtani has since slid back into LA’s lineup as its regular designated hitter, batting in seven straight games for the first time all season.1When Ohtani was pitching roughly every seven days, he would be held out of the lineup in those games plus usually two or three others per week. And that appears to be how the Angels are handling Ohtani’s recovery for now, using him only as a hitter and hoping that a combination of rest and platelet-rich plasma therapy can heal his arm and help him avoid the dreaded Tommy John surgery, which could take him out of action as a pitcher for years.The hitting half of Ohtani is still pretty valuable by itself, and there’s some chance he could return to the mound without needing surgery. But Los Angeles may also just be delaying the inevitable, as injections like the ones Ohtani is getting don’t always successfully stave off Tommy John in the end. (Indeed, Ohtani already underwent the same treatment for a less severe UCL sprain last fall, only to have the injury re-emerge.) With the Angels’ playoff chances all but dried up this year, is it worth it to run him out at half strength for the rest of his rookie campaign? Or should they just call it a season and schedule the operation to fully repair his damaged elbow? Ohtani’s unprecedented ability has given Los Angeles an unprecedented front-office dilemma.Having Ohtani back certainly improves the Angels’ short-term outlook, since the team looked lost without him for most of June. On June 6, the day of Ohtani’s last start, Los Angeles was 35-28 with a 39 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to The Baseball Gauge. By the time he returned, they’d fallen to 43-42 with a 7 percent playoff probability. It wasn’t all due to Ohtani’s absence — teammates like Andrelton Simmons and Andrew Heaney also fell off pace after hot starts — but losing a player with his unique production abilities didn’t help. According to an average of the metrics found at Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs, Ohtani has been worth 2.0 combined wins above replacement as a hitter and pitcher in 50 games of action this season, which is roughly what we’d expect from one solid starter over the course of an entire season.By now, though, Ohtani’s contributions may be too little, too late to save the Angels’ season. As of Tuesday afternoon, they sat fourth in the AL West, 14 games behind the division-leading Astros and 10 games back in the wild-card race. Most likely, any playing time Ohtani gets from here on out this season will be to get him more reps against MLB pitching (no small consideration) and improve his Rookie of the Year candidacy, not to power an epic playoff push. Because of this, the Angels have come under some criticism on social media for putting off Ohtani’s Tommy John surgery for the sake of batting him during what’s likely a lost season.We can do some rough math to map out the options for Ohtani and the Angels. According to this database of Tommy John surgeries collected by Jon Roegele, the median time for a hitter to return to his previous level of competition after the procedure is 11 months, and the median for pitchers is 15 months. That means that, looking at the regular season only, if Ohtani had surgery now, he could expect to return as a batter in June 2019 and as a two-way player for the start of the 2020 season. If he delays surgery to the offseason, though, he’d miss all but the final month of 2019 as a hitter, though he’d still return as a pitcher in time for the start of the 2020 season.(Obviously, these are just the median outcomes — a quarter of position players recover in under 10 months, while 25 percent of pitchers take more than 20 months to return. But these numbers do help give a sense of the recovery times involved for most players who undergo Tommy John surgery.)If we combine those time frames with a simple age progression on Ohtani’s projected regular-season hitting and pitching WAR,2An admitted simplification of things, since it assumes the injury can only affect his performance by keeping him off the field entirely, not by reducing his effectiveness when he does play. we can come up with an estimate of how much value Ohtani figures to add over the next three seasons, depending on when (or if) he elects to go under the knife: At a first glance, the difference between the two Tommy John-related strategies is small (just 0.4 WAR), and that’s assuming that Ohtani does eventually need surgery. The ideal scenario, of course, is one where Ohtani the pitcher comes back without needing surgery and the Angels reap the benefits of Ohtani the hitter in the meantime. This outcome would have an expected value of 6.6 total WAR over the next three seasons, dwarfing the expectation if they shelved him right now. It’s a gamble with considerable upside.Research shows that the plasma injections can keep a player out from under the knife between about 40 and 65 percent of the time. For simplicity’s sake, let’s treat that as a 50-50 shot. Baking in that estimated 50 percent chance of Ohtani’s elbow recovering without surgery, we’d expect the non-surgery choice to deliver an overall expected value of 5.2 WAR — that’s just the average of the delayed-surgery and no-surgery scenarios.Of course, the calculations change a bit if we lower the odds of not needing surgery (dropping them to 40 percent would mean weighting the average toward the delayed-surgery numbers, which would bring his expected value down to 5.0 WAR), or if we account for the fact that LA’s wins over the rest of this season come with lower championship leverage than they might in future seasons, due to the Angels’ poor chances of making the playoff at the moment. The last time the Angels had a comparable playoff probability at this stage of a season, their average play was only 35 percent as impactful as the typical opening-day play.But even if we reduce Ohtani’s hitting WAR over the rest of 2018 by that factor and assign a mere 40 percent chance he won’t need surgery, the expected three-year value of LA’s wait-and-see approach comes out to 4.5 WAR, essentially the same as the expected value of his having surgery right now (4.3 WAR). And again, that’s assuming the least-favorable rate of success for the non-surgical approach, which might be underselling its effectiveness.In other words, the Angels are probably making the right call with Ohtani at the moment. It feels strange to only use half of Ohtani’s incredible skill set, particularly with LA’s playoff chances on life support, and it certainly isn’t exactly what the Angels were envisioning when they paid a $20 million posting fee for Ohtani last December. But it’s a good quandary to have — if he was an ordinary pitcher, this wouldn’t even be a debate. By putting off surgery for now, they’ve given Ohtani’s arm a chance to heal without necessarily losing his services for a year (or more) while also giving his bat a chance to develop further (remember, he just turned 24).And if nothing else, it also gives us a chance to see more weird, puppet-based depictions of his home runs:
Updated: 12:44 PM Alpine Library doubling as County Assistance Center for West Fire victims Related: West Fire: Heroic residents, firefighter stories, and devastating aftermath July 9, 2018 People in need were ushered into the building even as a briefing for the service providers was barely winding up.While the providers included representatives from the California Department of Insurance and the State’s Contractor License Board, County Crisis Counseling and referral services were also on hand.As a County spokesperson told us, people who’ve lost everything may still be in shock, but from a mental health standpoint, its important to let them know we’re here for them.A group with therapy dogs was also on hand. 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsWith the West Fire emergency over, the County has opened an assistance center for victims at the Alpine Library.Ed Lenderman was live at the Alpine Library to take a look at the recovery and assistance efforts undertaken by the community following the devastation of the West Fire.The 505-acre fire destroyed 34 residential buildings, 22 outbuildings and a commercial building in Alpine, CalFire San Diego announced. As of Monday, it is 92% contained.As the fire was raging and it was obvious homes were being lost, County officials were already looking for a location for a recovery center to be in place the moment the emergency was over.A Local Assistance Center will open today at 9 a.m. at the Alpine Library, 1752 Alpine Blvd. Help will be available for residents impacted by the #WestFire and #BuildingFire. The LAC will operate from 9 a.m. to 6 p.m., until further notice.— SanDiegoCounty (@SanDiegoCounty) July 9, 2018 Ed Lenderman Ed Lenderman, Categories: Good Morning San Diego, Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter Posted: July 9, 2018
Categories: Local San Diego News, National & International News Tags: Donald Trump, Immigration FacebookTwitter August 9, 2019 Crews at the US-Mexico border placed the final panel in the primary border wall project Friday.The acting Chief of @CBPSanDiego, Agent Kathleen Scudder, delivered opening remarks as workers placed the last panel.Story: https://t.co/eBDqyvOrq4 pic.twitter.com/uLCzcnQiZl— KUSI News (@KUSINews) August 9, 2019 KUSI Newsroom Updated: 3:50 PM Posted: August 9, 2019 KUSI Newsroom, 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsOTAY MESA (KUSI) – Crews at the US-Mexico border placed the final panel in the primary border wall project Friday.The acting Chief of the San Diego Sector Border Patrol, Agent Kathleen Scudder, delivered opening remarks as workers placed the last panel.The project was started by the Trump administration in 2017.The Border Patrol is touting the increased situational awareness this will give their agents and the height of the new section of the border wall.Agent Kathleen Scudder also said she expects this to be more of a deterrent than the previous model. Crews install final panel of new primary border wall project